Published: April 7th, 2025,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

The world’s major growth engines are about to run in reverse. The policies and uncertainties of US President Donald Trump’s second administration have hit a sluggish global economy with a transformational exogenous shock. Risks are especially worrisome in both the United States and China, which have collectively accounted for a little more than 40 percent of cumulative global GDP growth since 2010.