Study: IPCC underestimates tipping point • Table.Briefings

Radfahrer betrachtet einen umgekippten Opel Corsa - Sturmschäden des Orkan Kyrill in Wittenberg — If the Atlantic current shifts, it could get ten to 30 degrees colder in northern Europe and lead to unprecedented winter storms – worse than after Hurricane Kyrill in 2007.

How close is the Atlantic Current AMOC to a tipping point? In a new study, oceanologist Stefan Rahmstorf warns of a „far greater“ risk than assumed in the last IPCC report from 2021. The risk of a second tipping point of the Atlantic current is also underestimated.

The risk of a tipping point of the Atlantic current AMOC is „far greater“ than assumed in the last IPCC report from 2021. This is shown by several studies that have been published since then. Each of these studies has its limitations, writes oceanologist Stefan Rahmstorf in a new review article in the journal Oceanography. However, they all point in the same direction: „The risk of a critical AMOC transition is real and very serious, even if we cannot predict with certainty when and if this will happen.“

Study: IPCC underestimates tipping point risk for Atlantic current

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