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Survey: Why many IPCC researchers stopped believing in the 1.5-degree target

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Published: May 10th, 2024,
Last updated: May 30th, 2025

IPCC-Konferenz 2018
IPCC press conference on the special report for the 1.5-degree target: Only few IPCC researchers still believe in this temperature limit, a new survey shows – many expect 2.5 degrees Celsius and more.

Hundreds of the world’s leading climate researchers are worried that global warming will exceed 2.5 degrees Celsius by the end of the century. Only six percent of those surveyed still believe the 1.5-degree target can be met. This was revealed in a recent survey by The Guardian, which contacted all climate researchers who have worked for the IPCC as lead authors or review editors since 2018. 380 of the 843 IPCC researchers contacted responded.

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