Opinion

No time for fatalism: 1.5 degrees can still be maintained

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Published: July 13th, 2023,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

By Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Bill Hare and Johan Rockström
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Bill Hare und Johan Rockström
Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Bill Hare and Johan Rockström

The Paris climate agreement’s goal of limiting global warming to 1.5° Celsius is in the headlines again. According to the latest projections from the World Meteorological Organization, „There is a 66 percent likelihood that the annual average near-surface global temperature between 2023 and 2027 will be more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for at least one year.“ A supercharged El Niño cycle means that record-breaking temperatures are almost certain.

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Climate protection Climate Policy Decarbonization Klimaforschung