Opinion

Opinion: How EU debt rules ignore the climate – and why this is dangerous.

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By Experts

Published: May 14th, 2025,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

By Philippa Sigl-Glöckner and Vinzenz Ziesener
Philippa Sigl-Glöckner, Director of the Future Department, and Vinzenz Ziesemer, Director of the Instituut voor Publieke Economie in The Hague.

The new EU fiscal rules have been in force since last fall: the maximum permissible government spending is now calculated using so-called Debt Sustainability Analyses (DSA). These project how the debt ratio of a member state will develop 14 to 17 years into the future. We show that these analyses ignore a key factor: the obstacles to growth that can result from climate impacts and compliance with climate targets. The projections of the debt sustainability analyses depend crucially on growth expectations.

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EU Climate protection Climate change Financial policy EU debt rules