Opinion

If the European elections were this Sunday: Far-right stronger than ever, EPP and Liberals lose.

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Published: March 26th, 2025,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

By Manuel Müller
Manuel Müller has regularly produced seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

Since the last seat projection at the end of January, there has been some movement in the political mood in Europe: There were federal elections in Germany and the national presidential elections in Romania and Poland in May. In Portugal, parliament was dissolved and new elections will also be held in May. The dynamics of these changes did not always point in the same direction. For example, the German left made strong gains in the federal elections, while the Portuguese left-wing parties got off to a rather weak start in their national election campaign.

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