Opinion

If European elections were held on Sunday … right-wing forces are profitting

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By Experts

Published: July 20th, 2023,
Last updated: May 30th, 2025

By Manuel Müller
Manuel Müller has been regularly producing seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

The vote on the Nature Restoration Law was a dramatic moment in the European Parliament. This was not only due to the close result but also to the unusually sharp confrontation: While the Social Democratic S&D, Greens, Left and a majority of the liberal Renew Group supported the law, the Christian Democratic Conservative EPP aggressively campaigned against it and tried to stop it together with the two far-right groups EKR and ID. Although unsuccessful, some saw this campaign as a test balloon for a new EPP strategy ahead of the 2024 European elections – and possibly for the years thereafter.

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European election 2024 European Parliament