Opinion

‘If the European elections were this Sunday…’ – far right on the rise

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Published: October 11th, 2024,
Last updated: October 11th, 2024

By Manuel Müller
Manuel Müller has regularly produced seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

Four months after the European elections, the European far-right parties are still on the upswing. In the Austrian parliamentary elections at the end of September, the FPÖ (PfE) became the strongest party, while far-right parties could finish in second place in the Lithuanian and Bulgarian parliamentary elections this October. The three far-right parties are also making further gains at EU level. In the base scenario of the current seat projection, they would achieve a total of 196 seats. That is nine more than in the European elections in June and ten more than in the most recent projection in August.

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Europapolitik Europawahlen 2024