Opinion

If the European elections were on Sunday: EPP extends its lead

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Published: February 28th, 2024,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

By Manuel Müller
Manuel Müller has regularly produced seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

It’s party conference time in the EU: the European parties are meeting over the next few weeks to adopt their European election programs and nominate their lead candidates. The Greens kicked things off at the beginning of February with Terry Reintke and Bas Eickhout, followed a few days ago by the Left with Walter Baier. Next up will be the Social Democrats this weekend and the European People’s Party in the middle of next week, although Nicolas Schmit (PES) and Ursula von der Leyen (EPP) have already been confirmed as the lead candidates. It will be exciting for the Liberals, who will probably not decide on their lead candidate until the end of March. The two right-wing parties ECR and ID are running without EU-wide lead candidates.

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