Opinion

If the European elections were this Sunday – Patriots lose, Greens and Left make gains

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Published: January 29th, 2025,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

Manuel Müller has regularly produced seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

If you’ve been following the political headlines in recent weeks – from Trump’s inauguration to the cracking of the „firewall“ in Germany far-right parties seem to be on the rise everywhere. However, if you look at the European election polls, their record has been mixed at best. At the beginning of December, the „Patriots for Europe“ (PfE), the largest far-right group in the European Parliament, reached a new record high in the European election seat projection. Now, however, the PfE is falling back significantly, which is only partially offset by gains made by the other right-wing groups. The biggest winner at the start of the year, however, is the Left, and the Greens are also in a better position than two months ago.

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