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European election 2024

If the European elections were on Sunday: Right-wing extremists in third place

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Published: January 10th, 2024,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

Manuel Müller has regularly produced seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

The European election year has begun, and in the first seat projection of the year, many developments that had already emerged in previous months are becoming more pronounced. Compared to the last projection in November 2023, the center-left camp continues to lose ground, far-right parties continue to gain ground and the European People’s Party (EPP) remains well ahead of the social democratic S&D group.

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Europawahlen 2024