Around fourteen months before the 2024 European elections, the polls are showing an exciting race. According to a current projection, the Christian Democrat-conservative European People’s Party (EPP) would currently only have 162 MEPs and would thus fall significantly below its level of 176 seats in the current Parliament. The Social Democratic Group (S&D) would also lose seats, but to a lesser extent: Instead of 144, it would now have 137 seats. If this remains the case, or if the Social Democrats make up even more ground, it could be one of the closest European elections in recent decades.