Opinion

The return of global inflation

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Published: February 16th, 2022,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

By Carmen Reinhart and Clemens Graf von Luckner
Clemens Graf von Luckner is an economist at the World Bank; Carmen Reinhart is Chief Economist of the World Bank Group.

Inflation has come back faster, spiked more markedly, and proved to be more stubborn and persistent than major central banks initially thought possible. After initially dominating headlines in the United States, the problem has become a centerpiece of policy discussions in many other advanced economies. In 15 of the 34 countries classified as AEs by the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook, 12-month inflation through December 2021 was running above 5%. Such a sudden, shared jump in high inflation (by modern standards) has not been seen in more than 20 years.

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