Opinion
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Economic Situation

China’s economic engine is running out of fuel

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Published: January 4th, 2024,
Last updated: May 30th, 2025

From Yi Fuxian
Yi Fuxian, leitender Forscher im Bereich Geburtshilfe und Gynäkologie an der Universität von Wisconsin-Madison. Hier schreibt er über Bevölkerungskontrolle und Familienplanung in Xinjiang.
Scientist Yi Fuxian from the University of Wisconsin-Madison is concerned with China’s aging society.

Earlier this month, the ratings agency Moody’s cut its outlook on China’s sovereign credit rating to negative, citing risks from a deepening property crisis and a prolonged growth slowdown. In fact, Moody’s now predicts that annual economic growth will fall to 4 percent in 2024 and 2025, before slowing further, to 3.8 percent, on average, for the rest of the decade. Potential growth will decline to 3.5 percent by 2030. A major driver of this slowdown will be „weaker demographics.“

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