Water levels in the German city of Bonn on the Rhine are not the only thing rising right now. Many eyebrows were raised when Bavarian Minister-President Markus Söder commented on the flood disaster in his state by saying that „nobody could have expected this.“ This left climate experts from all over the world feeling a mixture of anger, cynicism, and despair. After all, the people sitting here at the climate conference are the very people who calculate the models based on which they have been warning for decades about extreme weather events, such as the one southern Germany currently experiences.