Published: January 3rd, 2024,
Last updated: May 30th, 2025

The current flood disaster in northern and central Germany is in line with climate science predictions of possible extreme events in winter – namely in terms of their causes, course, and effects. The climate models predict more frequent heavy rainfall because warmer air absorbs more moisture. As rivers and wetlands are unable to drain or store unusually large volumes of water quickly enough, the likelihood of flooding increases. As climate change adaptation measures have not yet progressed sufficiently, extreme weather-related damage and losses are also increasing in Germany.