Ukraine: six possible outcomes

The Ukraine war is clearly not going as planned for Russian President Vladimir Putin and his military. But it is unlikely that the Ukrainian armed forces will defeat the Russian army – despite support from the West. Six scenarios of what could happen next.

The following scenarios have one thing in common: They are unlikely to lead to permanently stable and politically and economically reliable framework conditions – neither in Ukraine nor in the Russian Federation or Belarus. They are all speculative assumptions.

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