Opinion

If the European elections were this Sunday: S&D falls back, PfE gains

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Published: December 5th, 2024,
Last updated: May 28th, 2025

Manuel Müller
Manuel Müller has regularly produced seat projections for the European elections since 2014.

2024 was – once again – not an easy year for European social democracy. In the European elections, the S&D Group achieved its worst result ever and lost the option of forming center-left majorities in the European Parliament without the European People’s Party. At national level, the Social Democrats lost the Portuguese parliamentary elections in March, were unable to translate their election success in France in July into government participation, and experienced the failure of the German traffic light coalition in November.

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Emmanuel Macron Europäisches Parlament EVP Greens/EFA Renew S&D